Is snow season over?

 Northern Arizona Weather, Outlooks  Comments Off on Is snow season over?
Jan 252017
 

ShareWith 43 inches of snow and 4.5 inches of water for the month to date, the next two weeks are looking remarkably dry. The question is how long will the dry trend last? The latest 8-14 day outlook from the Climate Prediction Center sums it up. Flagstaff ends up on the thin border between above […]

 Posted by at 11:28 am

Friday was a record, will it show up in the record books? And, where will the next 12-18 inches of snow go.

 Northern Arizona Weather, Record, Winter Storms  Comments Off on Friday was a record, will it show up in the record books? And, where will the next 12-18 inches of snow go.
Jan 212017
 

ShareUPDATED (9:52AM, January 22): Winter Storm Warning in effect. See below Answers: I don’t know. And, on the ground, of course. The National Weather Service provides two great products for looking at Flagstaffs weather. The Daily Climate Report and the Preliminary Monthly Climate Data Report. Yesterday, both reports were showing MM, or missing data for […]

 Posted by at 11:49 pm

Triple Header – Winter Storm Warning

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Triple Header – Winter Storm Warning
Jan 182017
 

ShareThree waves of winter storms will move across the Northland between Thursday and Monday night. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect and included at the bottom of this post. The first two waves my not be distinguishable from each other. Once the snow starts falling during the day on Thursday, it may not stop […]

 Posted by at 9:47 pm

It’s gonna get deep!

 Northern Arizona Weather, Winter Storms  Comments Off on It’s gonna get deep!
Jan 162017
 

ShareA significant snow event, or two, is on the way. Month to date, Flagstaff has received more than double the average snowfall. The snowy winter of 2016-2017 will continue until everyone needs new skis for next year. The timing for this next storm is pretty clear. Snow will start Thursday and continue through Sunday. As […]

 Posted by at 1:29 pm

6-12 inches for Snowbowl. Flagstaff gets mostly rain? Next weekend?

 Monthly Review, Northern Arizona Weather, Winter Storms  Comments Off on 6-12 inches for Snowbowl. Flagstaff gets mostly rain? Next weekend?
Jan 142017
 

Share6-12 inches for Snowbowl, Flagstaff gets mostly rain. Next weekend? Checking the point forecast for Snowbowl at the National Weather Service, it will get 6-12 inches of new snow between Saturday afternoon and Sunday morning. Flagstaff will remain mostly warm. Snow levels will be around 7000-7500 feet. So, being careful is important. A slight move […]

 Posted by at 1:20 am

Chance for heavy snow on Saturday night.

 Models, Northern Arizona Weather, Winter Storms  Comments Off on Chance for heavy snow on Saturday night.
Jan 122017
 

ShareThe next few days will bring precipitation now and then to the area, while temperatures remain warm. But, this current version of the 24 hour snowfall computer model shows that heavy snow could fall on Saturday night. Notice the small area of pink, white and green on the image below. Some locations, particularly at higher […]

 Posted by at 10:53 pm

Woe betide us! It’s cut-off low season

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Woe betide us! It’s cut-off low season
Jan 112017
 

Share(Woe betide the sailor…) The forecast for this weekend is…well…probably wet. Actually, probably wet describe the time from now until Monday. But, when, where and how much are up in the air. I’ve discussed cut-off low pressure systems repeatedly over the years. They are notoriously difficult to predict, not just from the when and how […]

 Posted by at 6:38 pm

Super Cold in USA! But rain, not snow, for next week?

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Super Cold in USA! But rain, not snow, for next week?
Jan 072017
 

ShareCredit for a great, quick read o the extent of the cold this morning in North America goes to Doctor Roy Spencer: The Frigid 48: U.S. Average Temperature 11 deg. F. His image below shows the extent of the chill across North America. I wanted to reblog his post directly, but I don’t think he […]

 Posted by at 7:29 am

Rain, snow, and no more one-two punches

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Rain, snow, and no more one-two punches
Jan 052017
 

ShareI think the computer modelers are still struggling with the sea surface temperature inputs from the Pacific. It looks like things have settled down in the models. The storm pattern from Christmas and New Year’s seems to have stopped. The storm track is more northerly. Northern Arizona will miss the larger storm centers and only […]

 Posted by at 8:40 am

Will Flagstaff escape the next round of severe cold?

 Models, Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Will Flagstaff escape the next round of severe cold?
Dec 302016
 

ShareSnow is still on the way for the weekend, but the new question is how cold will Flagstaff be with next punishing cold wave. Current forecasts don’t look too bad. Temperatures in the low 30s for highs, and single digits for lows. But look at the outlook for the rest of the country! The deeper […]

 Posted by at 6:14 am
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