Wet December continues today

 Northern Arizona Weather, Winter Storms  Comments Off on Wet December continues today
Dec 162014

More water is on its way. We are about an inch and a half above average precipitation for December. Most of this has fallen as rain. This next round of precipitation is causing a conundrum. The models keep drifting. The weather forecasts have often changed. I think I saw one forecast last night that claimed […]

 Posted by at 5:41 am

California drought to end, We get a wet pattern

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on California drought to end, We get a wet pattern
Dec 122014

The storm door is opening up. California should get battered with tons of tropical moisture being drawn up from the south. We will get a healthy supply of leftovers. Then, in the middle of next week, another storm should roll our way. In the map below, up to an inch of water could fall in […]

 Posted by at 11:58 am

Please stop with the conspiracy theories!

 Climate, Conspiracies  Comments Off on Please stop with the conspiracy theories!
Dec 102014

Folks, look. We live in Northern Arizona, not Night Vale. The recent earthquakes (I think there were a total of 3 around Oak Creek Canyon) have no direct connection to the recent foggy weather. Earthquakes are in the ground. Fog is in the air. So, please take a deep breath and drive carefully. We should […]

 Posted by at 7:08 pm

Fog, again

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Fog, again
Dec 092014

Last week, we received plenty of rain. The ground is still wet. We call this particular fog radiation fog. It’s not because it’s radioactive. Under clear skies at night, heat radiates from the surface of the earth to deep space in the infrared spectrum. This allows everything near ground level to cool. With the ground […]

 Posted by at 6:17 am

Warm and wet

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Warm and wet
Dec 062014

California is looking forward to leaving their current drought behind. We should have another storm move through at the end of next week. But almost all of North America is looking forward to above average temperatures for the next week or two. Below is the 6-10 day temperature outlook from the Climate Prediction Center.¬† This […]

 Posted by at 12:51 pm

Wet, not snow pattern ahead

 Winter Storms  Comments Off on Wet, not snow pattern ahead
Dec 022014

Things have continued to develop. Temperatures in Flagstaff are going to stay above normal for the next few days. The cut-off low pressure system I thought we would have this week is melting. We will get some precipitation in the form of rain. Longer term, the storm track should develop and drop to the south […]

 Posted by at 8:17 am

Where’s the freaking snow?

 Northern Arizona Weather, Outlooks, Winter Storms  Comments Off on Where’s the freaking snow?
Nov 252014

I laugh quietly to myself with that headline. It’s not even Thanksgiving. And Thanksgiving will be beautiful. We have a bit of time before we should expect snow. But only a bit. I wonder what price we will pay for a beautiful Thanksgiving? I don’t think we will have a foot of snow next week. […]

 Posted by at 6:44 am

Differences in Forecasts

 Outlooks  Comments Off on Differences in Forecasts
Nov 132014

Or, will we see rain Friday night. Over the last week, the homegrown forecast at Wunderground.com has included a 30-40% chance of rain for Friday. No place else has been as consistent. All of the computer models(GFS, NoGAPs, NAM) have not shown rain until today. I can not remember another time where this has been […]

 Posted by at 6:35 am

Running behind on winter

 El Nino/La Nina, Outlooks  Comments Off on Running behind on winter
Nov 102014

I usually shoot for the end of September to write my first post for the winter. Historically, this is because Arizona Snowbowl was dependent on natural snow. Now, they make their own snow. As a result, making the early decision about buying a season pass at a discount doesn’t matter so much. As early as […]

 Posted by at 7:08 am

Vapor lock, another weather related phenomenon

 Lake Powell, Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Vapor lock, another weather related phenomenon
Oct 122014

If you know me or my blog, you know I watch Lake Powell. Most of my posts are about the water level increase expected each spring and early summer. But many boaters have reported weather problems at the lake that weren’t related to dust storms, thunderstorms or wind storms. Triple digit temperatures are a common […]

 Posted by at 6:35 pm
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