Dec 302014

There is a winter storm warning posted for Flagstaff. It is below. But, what if it didn’t come together as promised. Is that even possible? The National Weather Service has the following forecast for downtown Flagstaff: If you add up the snowfall amounts from Wednesday to Thursday, the totals come to 7-14 inches. This is […]

 Posted by at 6:43 am

Snow and Other News of Moisture

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Snow and Other News of Moisture
Dec 242014

Over the last week or so, the GFS models have had a snow drifting in and out of the forecast for tomorrow. Currently, snow is back in the forecast for tomorrow, along with cooler temperatures. But, the storm is coming down from the north. This is not a typical storm pattern, and is very different […]

 Posted by at 1:49 pm

Wet December continues today

 Northern Arizona Weather, Winter Storms  Comments Off on Wet December continues today
Dec 162014

More water is on its way. We are about an inch and a half above average precipitation for December. Most of this has fallen as rain. This next round of precipitation is causing a conundrum. The models keep drifting. The weather forecasts have often changed. I think I saw one forecast last night that claimed […]

 Posted by at 5:41 am

California drought to end, We get a wet pattern

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on California drought to end, We get a wet pattern
Dec 122014

The storm door is opening up. California should get battered with tons of tropical moisture being drawn up from the south. We will get a healthy supply of leftovers. Then, in the middle of next week, another storm should roll our way. In the map below, up to an inch of water could fall in […]

 Posted by at 11:58 am

Please stop with the conspiracy theories!

 Climate, Conspiracies  Comments Off on Please stop with the conspiracy theories!
Dec 102014

Folks, look. We live in Northern Arizona, not Night Vale. The recent earthquakes (I think there were a total of 3 around Oak Creek Canyon) have no direct connection to the recent foggy weather. Earthquakes are in the ground. Fog is in the air. So, please take a deep breath and drive carefully. We should […]

 Posted by at 7:08 pm

Fog, again

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Fog, again
Dec 092014

Last week, we received plenty of rain. The ground is still wet. We call this particular fog radiation fog. It’s not because it’s radioactive. Under clear skies at night, heat radiates from the surface of the earth to deep space in the infrared spectrum. This allows everything near ground level to cool. With the ground […]

 Posted by at 6:17 am

Warm and wet

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Warm and wet
Dec 062014

California is looking forward to leaving their current drought behind. We should have another storm move through at the end of next week. But almost all of North America is looking forward to above average temperatures for the next week or two. Below is the 6-10 day temperature outlook from the Climate Prediction Center.  This […]

 Posted by at 12:51 pm

Wet, not snow pattern ahead

 Winter Storms  Comments Off on Wet, not snow pattern ahead
Dec 022014

Things have continued to develop. Temperatures in Flagstaff are going to stay above normal for the next few days. The cut-off low pressure system I thought we would have this week is melting. We will get some precipitation in the form of rain. Longer term, the storm track should develop and drop to the south […]

 Posted by at 8:17 am

Where’s the freaking snow?

 Northern Arizona Weather, Outlooks, Winter Storms  Comments Off on Where’s the freaking snow?
Nov 252014

I laugh quietly to myself with that headline. It’s not even Thanksgiving. And Thanksgiving will be beautiful. We have a bit of time before we should expect snow. But only a bit. I wonder what price we will pay for a beautiful Thanksgiving? I don’t think we will have a foot of snow next week. […]

 Posted by at 6:44 am

Differences in Forecasts

 Outlooks  Comments Off on Differences in Forecasts
Nov 132014

Or, will we see rain Friday night. Over the last week, the homegrown forecast at has included a 30-40% chance of rain for Friday. No place else has been as consistent. All of the computer models(GFS, NoGAPs, NAM) have not shown rain until today. I can not remember another time where this has been […]

 Posted by at 6:35 am
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