Sep 092014
 

Mother nature decided to blow the forecast away. There was a ton of moisture in Arizona’s atmosphere. Below is an image from Intellicast.com that shows an estimate of daily precipitation based on radar imagery. If you compare this image to from the National Weather Service, you can see that things didn’t turn out to forecast. […]

 Posted by at 6:51 am
Sep 032014
 

Reinforcing my post from yesterday. The Climate Prediction Center released their new September outlook. We are looking at above average precipitation. Add to this the 6-10 and 8-14 day precipitation outlooks, and they have painted a very wet picture for us this month. Moisture is already flowing our way. Look for thunderstorms to start tomorrow […]

 Posted by at 6:20 am
Sep 022014
 

We had a wet and cool August. The National Weather Service in Flagstaff published their monthly report for August. Northern Arizona was cool and wet. The wet piece probably surprises no one. The part I find interesting is that the cool temperatures and above average precipitation prevailed in most of Northern Arizona. Too often, we […]

 Posted by at 6:47 am
Aug 232014
 

On Thursday, the Climate Prediction Center released new 1-month and 3-month long-range outlooks. They point to continued above normal precipitation for September, and September to November. They are below. I think the above average temperature waters off the West Coast and the Gulf of Mexico. El Nino continues to look iffy. Currently, another slightly drier […]

 Posted by at 7:03 am
Aug 172014
 

In my last post, I pointed out that a drier period was ahead. What I had meant, and what the models foretold, was no rain for a week or so. That has not been the case. Thursday evening, a storm moved across the west side of Flagstaff dumping heavy rain across the area. Friday evening […]

 Posted by at 10:16 pm
Aug 132014
 

It’s hard to believe since it rained all night last night, but another break in the action is ahead. The weekend might be a bit wet, but next week is looking mostly dry. I think this is due to the repetitive formation of hurricanes off the coast of Central America. These storms keep forming and […]

 Posted by at 6:13 am
Aug 112014
 

Last night we saw the first part of a wet week. This week, we should be inside the monsoonal flow. And, I think there is plenty of warm water to support an ongoing rainy season. The Pacific Coast of North American, all the way down to Central America is quite warm compared to normal. This […]

 Posted by at 6:49 am
Jul 312014
 

For the next four days, some of the forecasts and the computer models show as much as an 1.5-2 inches of rain for parts of Northern Arizona. This will give us a good start to August. The scope of the precipitation over the next few days isn’t reflected in every forecast. Some, like the NOAA’s […]

 Posted by at 6:40 am
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