Here’s an animation that makes the point.

 Climate, Models, Northern Arizona Weather, Outlooks  Comments Off on Here’s an animation that makes the point.
Feb 162017
 

ShareThe computer GFS computer model is all over the place. Here is an animation of 4 images. All 4 images report total project precipitation through next Tuesday evening. Notice, it hasn’t started to rain or snow at this time, so that the start time doesn’t matter. The precipitation amounts are widely different. It looks like […]

 Posted by at 11:33 am

Wetter ab dem Wochenende: Die Wettermodelle sind sich überhaupt nicht einig

 Models, Northern Arizona Weather, Winter Storms  Comments Off on Wetter ab dem Wochenende: Die Wettermodelle sind sich überhaupt nicht einig
Feb 152017
 

ShareReader: Stu, that title is in German. Stu: I know, but it will make sense later on. Bis Freitag scheinen sich die Wettermodelle noch sehr einig zu sein, was am Wetterhimmel passiert. Aber schon am Wochenende sind sie sich schon nicht mehr einig, die Temperaturspanne wird breiter. Und in der nächsten Woche liegen die Prognosen […]

 Posted by at 11:17 pm

Rest of February looks wetter than on Friday

 Models, Northern Arizona Weather, Outlooks  Comments Off on Rest of February looks wetter than on Friday
Feb 122017
 

ShareThe computer GFS computer model has been changing the precipitation outlook for the rest of the month quite a bit between runs. On Friday, the rest of the month, through Sunday evening, February 26, looked fairly wet. This image is reposted below.Flagstaff was in the 1.5 to 2 inch range. This Sunday morning, everything looks […]

 Posted by at 8:22 am

After a dry start, will Flagstaff hit average precipitation for February

 Climate, Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on After a dry start, will Flagstaff hit average precipitation for February
Feb 112017
 

ShareBut first, what is average? In the grand view, we have limited data. The National Weather Service maintains a record going back to 1898. Between 1898 and 1950, the weather station site moved 4 times. This complicates the precipitation record because of the effects terrain can play on precipitation amounts. Precipitation has been measured at […]

 Posted by at 12:08 am

Two wet weekends ahead

 Northern Arizona Weather, Winter Storms  Comments Off on Two wet weekends ahead
Feb 082017
 

ShareThe pattern for the rest of February is looking similar to the holidays. Very unstable and hard to predict, but with a few chances for significant rain and snow. The first serious round is shaping up for this weekend. The timing, length and intensity keep shifting. This is due to a cut-off low forming after […]

 Posted by at 10:34 am

Wet end to February?

 Northern Arizona Weather, Outlooks, Winter Storms  Comments Off on Wet end to February?
Feb 052017
 

ShareWith nearly 9 inches of precipitation between December and January, Things have been mostly dry since January 25. Next week, there is an occasional chance for flurries or light rain. It has been quite a change as the main storm track has been to the north. The current longer range outlooks for the second half […]

 Posted by at 10:47 am

Is snow season over?

 Northern Arizona Weather, Outlooks  Comments Off on Is snow season over?
Jan 252017
 

ShareWith 43 inches of snow and 4.5 inches of water for the month to date, the next two weeks are looking remarkably dry. The question is how long will the dry trend last? The latest 8-14 day outlook from the Climate Prediction Center sums it up. Flagstaff ends up on the thin border between above […]

 Posted by at 11:28 am

Friday was a record, will it show up in the record books? And, where will the next 12-18 inches of snow go.

 Northern Arizona Weather, Record, Winter Storms  Comments Off on Friday was a record, will it show up in the record books? And, where will the next 12-18 inches of snow go.
Jan 212017
 

ShareUPDATED (9:52AM, January 22): Winter Storm Warning in effect. See below Answers: I don’t know. And, on the ground, of course. The National Weather Service provides two great products for looking at Flagstaffs weather. The Daily Climate Report and the Preliminary Monthly Climate Data Report. Yesterday, both reports were showing MM, or missing data for […]

 Posted by at 11:49 pm

Triple Header – Winter Storm Warning

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Triple Header – Winter Storm Warning
Jan 182017
 

ShareThree waves of winter storms will move across the Northland between Thursday and Monday night. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect and included at the bottom of this post. The first two waves my not be distinguishable from each other. Once the snow starts falling during the day on Thursday, it may not stop […]

 Posted by at 9:47 pm

It’s gonna get deep!

 Northern Arizona Weather, Winter Storms  Comments Off on It’s gonna get deep!
Jan 162017
 

ShareA significant snow event, or two, is on the way. Month to date, Flagstaff has received more than double the average snowfall. The snowy winter of 2016-2017 will continue until everyone needs new skis for next year. The timing for this next storm is pretty clear. Snow will start Thursday and continue through Sunday. As […]

 Posted by at 1:29 pm
2 visitors online now
0 guests, 2 bots, 0 members
Max visitors today: 3 at 12:44 am UTC
This month: 18 at 07-02-2017 09:28 am UTC
This year: 86 at 03-09-2017 03:59 pm UTC
All time: 1611 at 04-27-2012 06:53 pm UTC