Since my last post, the GFS and NAVGEM model have been indicating a change in the storm pattern. They don’t always match on the intensity and timing. One thing that seems to be consistent is mostly rain, not snow, falling. The temperatures will remain elevated for Arizona.
Currently, there is little chance for something this weekend. A considerable chance for something around the middle of next week. The strongest chance is around the following weekend. Of course, it’s the farthest out, which reduces the probability of it becoming a reality. The Climate Prediction Center sums it up nicely in the 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks. The very dark greens moved into the 6-10 day outlook yesterday. I hope it’s real and it’s snow.
One thought: Since it’s been mostly warm and dry. It might be a good time to recheck your winter readiness. Your clothes, your car, your home…etc.