Feb 262017
 
Total snowfall projection from the North American Mesoscale model through Tuesday evening. (From Tropical Tidbits)
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Finally, the models have aligned. We’ll see if it holds.

As you see below, heavy snowfall is on the way to the Flagstaff area. A winter storm warning is in effect from Monday evening through Tuesday morning. As you look at the image below, you will notice that Flagstaff is under the greenish section of the color scale. That should comfortably put it in the 12 inch or better range. The National Weather Service is forecasting 8-12 inches. Temperatures are going to be fairly warm during the snowfall, which could mean denser, less deep accumulations.

Total snowfall projection from the North American Mesoscale model through Tuesday evening. (From Tropical Tidbits)

Total snowfall projection from the North American Mesoscale model through Tuesday evening. (From Tropical Tidbits)

***************************************************

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
507 PM MST Sun Feb 26 2017

AZZ015-271200-
/O.CON.KFGZ.WS.W.0003.170227T1800Z-170228T1800Z/
Western Mogollon Rim-
Including the city of Flagstaff
507 PM MST Sun Feb 26 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MONDAY TO
11 AM MST TUESDAY ABOVE 6000 FEET...

* TIMING...The first flake of snow will occur by midday Monday.
  The heaviest period of snow will be between 11 PM Monday to 5 AM
  Tuesday. Snow should taper off by midday Tuesday.

* GENERAL EVENT TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...
  Elevations 6000 to 7000 feet: 5 to 10 inches (mainly west of Flagstaff).
  Elevations 7000 to 8000 feet: 10 to 13 inches.
  Elevations above 8000 feet: 13 to 18 inches.

 For the most up to date information consult the point specific
 forecast at: WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.

* SNOWFALL FORECAST FROM 11 AM MST Monday UNTIL 11 AM MST
  Tuesday...

     Doney Park  1 to 3  INCHES       Flagstaff  8 to 12 INCHES
       Williams  6 to 8  INCHES

* OTHER IMPACTS...Gusty winds will develop causing reduced
  visibilities in blowing and drifting snow at times during this
  event.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means severe winter weather conditions are
expected or occurring...due to significant amounts of snow and
strong winds producing limited visibilities.

Driving will be extremely dangerous during this storm. For the
latest road conditions and closures...call the adot freeway
management system at 1 888 411 7623 or visit their web site at
www.az511.com.

Additional weather information is on the web 
www.weather.gov/flagstaff.
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