A wet May and June have been followed by an early and fairly wet start to the monsoonal thunderstorm activity. But the computer models are showing a change to the pattern over the next week or so. A tropical storm may form off the coast of Central America and slowly move to the northwest. This will bring westerly winds and reduced moisture for Northern Arizona.
The drying trend seems to be in each computer model, but the tropical system doesn’t always show up. Still plenty of variability.
Meanwhile, in München, we have a very sunny and warm trend. The car thermometer said 35C yesterday on the way to a 4th of July party held by a couple from Scotland. 35C is 95F. Very warm without AC.