I think it is interesting that since I have moved to Munich, Arizona has become cooler and wetter, and Munich has become warmer and drier. I doubt it is because of me or my wife, but still….
The next week or so has many of the hallmarks of a monsoon season. A strong southwesterly flow of moisture is on the way. It does not have the look of the west to east sweeping storm track of winter. As a result, I think Flagstaff can expect rain and clouds for this weekend and beyond. Over an inch of rain is easily possible over the next week. Of course, it’s the weather, and subject to change.
A big driver for this moisture is the current El Nino conditions in the equatorial Pacific. I’m not sure what will happen for the entire summer with those conditions. El Ninos can alter wind patterns and could change our monsoon outlook.