Feb 282014
 
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As expected, temperatures around Flagstaff are warm this morning; in the upper 30s and low 40s. The outlook for snow is pretty weak because of the high temperatures. However, Arizona Snowbowl could receive 2-3 feet of new snow with this storm. The National Weather Service hasn’t posted any alerts, yet. If temperatures drop, our outlook could change.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
418 AM MST FRI FEB 28 2014

AZZ004>018-037>040-010900-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
418 AM MST FRI FEB 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...
NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS WILL SPREAD INTO COCONINO AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES BY THIS
AFTERNOON AS A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES. STEADY PRECIPITATION WILL
THEN DEVELOP OVERNIGHT...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS FROM THE
MOGOLLON RIM SOUTHWARD INTO YAVAPAI AND GILA COUNTIES. A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30
MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL ALSO CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TONIGHT. SNOW LEVELS REMAIN ABOVE 8000 TO 9000 FEET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY
PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE WITH RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW. A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED SATURDAY.

STORM TOTAL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.
WHILE WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED...LOCALIZED MINOR
FLOODING OF POORLY DRAINED AREAS IS POSSIBLE...AS WELL AS RISES ON
CREEKS AND WASHES.

SNOW LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOVE 8000 FEET EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...THEN FALL TO 6500 TO 7500 FEET BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FROM SATURDAY TO SUNDAY MORNING BETWEEN 6000 TO
8000 FOOT ELEVATION WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES...WITH MUCH
HEAVIER SNOW AMOUNTS EXPECTED OVER THE HIGHEST MOUNTAINS PEAKS.

DETAILS REGARDING SNOW LEVELS AND SNOW AMOUNTS ARE STILL SOMEWHAT
UNCERTAIN...PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
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