Feb 262014
 
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As our storm approaches, the computer models are predicting more precipitation. The 5-day precipitation outlook from the Weather Prediction Center shows a peak of 4.4 inches. This would completely reverse our deficit since September 1, 2013.

5-day precipitation outlook, ending Monday morning, 3-3-2014. From the National Weather Service's Weather Prediction Center

5-day precipitation outlook, ending Monday morning, 3-3-2014. From the National Weather Service’s (NWS) Weather Prediction Center

But, forecast temperatures remain above average. The daily minimum temperature anomaly for the next 5 days is +9 degrees F. Our typical average low this time of year is 21 degrees. That gives us an average temperature over the next 5 days of 30 or more. The NWS forecasts high temperatures in the low 40s and lows in the mid-20s. Snow or rain? Some of each? A lot of both.

I’m also thinking of the pictures in the Flagstaff Athletic Club’s East Facility. I think it was March of 1991. Flagstaff received a bunch of snow, then a bunch of rain which flooded the area near the bubble. Could we be looking at a similar scenario?

5-day minimum temperature anomaly from the NWS's Weather Prediction Center.

5-day minimum temperature anomaly from the NWS’s Weather Prediction Center.

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