This evening all the models seem to be swinging around in an inconsistent manner.
Lots of questions about Thursday. It really doesn’t look so bad. Maybe some light stuff will fall, but I don’t think it will amount to much. Some, like Accuweather, are forecasting up to 2 inches for Thursday.
Both of the Navy provided models, NOGAPS and GFS, have just started to show the weekend storms falling apart. We will have to wait and see. Previous runs showed major precip for this weekend.
Here is the National Weather Service‘s comment about this weekend. Kinda entertaining:
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT AS THEY SHOW TWO SYSTEMS TO CROSS ARIZONA. THE FIRST MOVES THROUGH ON SATURDAY AND THE CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION WERE INCREASED A FEW POINTS. THE SECOND WINDS UP OVER SRN CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY AND CROSSES ARIZONA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. AT THIS TIME...THE SECOND SYSTEM LOOKS SIMILAR TO WHAT IS LEAVING US TODAY. OUCH! ALL ARE ENCOURAGE TO MONITOR THE FORECASTS LATER THIS WEEK FOR MORE DETAILS ON THE SUNDAY / MONDAY SYSTEM.