Aug 212013
 
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Although INVEST 94E is just an area of low pressure, the computer models continue to forecast it to move to the north and bring abundant moisture to the Northland for the weekend. Here is this morning’s summary for it:

An area of low pressure located about 600 miles southwest of 
Manzanillo Mexico is showing signs of organization. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for additional development...and a 
tropical depression will likely form during the next day or two. 
This system has a high chance...60 percent...of becoming a tropical 
cyclone during the next 48 hours...and a high chance...90 
percent...of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days 
while it moves northwestward and then north-northwestward.

The next few days we will see wetter conditions than yesterday. Between now and midday Saturday, we could receive as much as an inch of rain. This is before the arrival of whatever 94E becomes on Saturday night and Sunday.

North American Mesoscale model precipitation forecast for total precipitation from this morning through midday Saturday. Model Guidance at the National Weather Service

North American Mesoscale model precipitation forecast for total precipitation from this morning through midday Saturday. Model Guidance at the National Weather Service

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