Jun 212013
 
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Update: The whole post is still good, but the Climate Prediction Center really stepped out today. I can’t remember an outlook like this for late June…ever! The 8-14 day and 30 day outlooks look very similar. Maybe we will have an early and wet monsoon season. I’m not ready to buy it, yet.

Latest 6 to 10 Day Precipitation Outlook from the Climate Prediction Center

Latest 6 to 10 Day Precipitation Outlook from the Climate Prediction Center

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It’s that time of year. Last weekend, the rain that fell in Flagstaff was from a small front moving through the area, not. The regular southerly monsoon all flow. I thought it felt humid, and it did. We had a brief spike in our dew point temperatures with the system. But, the dew point temperatures have fallen back below normal.

Flagstaff's recent dew point temperatures

Flagstaff’s recent dew point temperatures.

A  dry southwesterly flow has brought us our very dry red flag conditions. My Monsoon Mechanics page shows the wind directions favorable to the start and maintenance of the monsoon all flow. We need winds out of the south to southeast. Luckily, the winds will shift after this weekend. The southwest flow should slow and the wind direction should swing counterclockwise. We will have to wait and see.

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