In a rare event for this year, both the GFS model from NOAA and the NoGAPS model from the US Navy have aligned around a strong storm moving across Arizona next Tuesday. For a 6-7 day time point, they haven’t been very well aligned this winter.
Here is the NoGAPS model for 6 hours of precipitation ending next Wednesday morning. It shows about 3/4 of an inch of water.
Here is the NOAA GFS model for 24 hours ending Tuesday evening.
This model show over 3/4 of an inch of water, too. The timing is off by a few hours in each model. This weekend, we will see only a weak storm. Next week, we will see wetter conditions.I’m still not sure if we will get rain or snow.