Sorry for missing the first real accumulation of snow for the year. But, I was basking in tropical sunlight last week. Ahhhh.
Early next week we could receive another round of snow, depending on which forecast model is correct. The NoGAPs model forecast precipitation for Northern Arizona on Monday morning. The Navy’s model project a quarter to a half-inch of precipitation for the Flagstaff Area.
US Navy NoGAPs precipitation model for Monday, November 19, 2012. (Update: Sorry, I don’t know where this image went. Now it is gone forever.)
However, this doesn’t match the outlook from the GFS Model at NOAA. This model projects the moisture from the same storm misses Northern Arizona.
GFS Precipitation model for Monday morning, November 19, 2012
Which model is better tuned for this year? Of the forecast websites I routinely use, none are forecasting rain or snow on Monday. We’ll have to wait and see.
Stu
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