Nov 152012
 

Sorry for missing the first real accumulation of snow for the year. But, I was basking in tropical sunlight last week. Ahhhh.

Early next week we could receive another round of snow, depending on which forecast model is correct. The NoGAPs model forecast precipitation for Northern Arizona on Monday morning. The Navy’s model project a quarter to a half-inch of precipitation for the Flagstaff Area.

US Navy NoGAPs precipitation model for Monday, November 19, 2012.

US Navy NoGAPs precipitation model for Monday, November 19, 2012. (Update: Sorry, I don’t know where this image went. Now it is gone forever.)

However, this doesn’t match the outlook from the GFS Model at NOAA. This model projects the moisture from the same storm misses Northern Arizona.

GFS Precipitation model for Monday morning, November 19, 2012

GFS Precipitation model for Monday morning, November 19, 2012

Which model is better tuned for this year? Of the forecast websites I routinely use, none are forecasting rain or snow on Monday. We’ll have to wait and see.

Stu

 Posted by at 7:04 am

Sorry, the comment form is closed at this time.

5 visitors online now
1 guests, 4 bots, 0 members
Max visitors today: 8 at 12:58 am MST
This month: 18 at 12-10-2014 07:21 pm MST
This year: 23 at 09-30-2014 07:44 am MST
All time: 1611 at 04-27-2012 06:53 pm MST

Social Widgets powered by AB-WebLog.com.