Oct 242012
 

So, a bunch of Flagstaff Folks are in Miami this week. They are also going to try to make it home on Friday as Hurricane Sandy moves northward past the coast of Miami. I have no idea what it takes to shut down air service to an airport in such a situation. it looks like very strong winds will be buffeting the coast from Thursday night to Friday night as Sandy creeps by Miami. For situations like this, I tend to follow the US Navy’s NoGAPS models. Here is the Friday morning NoGAPS wind forecast at 10 meters height.

US Navy NoGAPS outlook for Surface (10 meter) Wind Barbs, Streamlines, Isotachs [kts]

US Navy NoGAPS outlook for Surface (10 meter) Wind Barbs, Streamlines, Isotachs [kts]

Notice that NoGAPS doesn’t forecast winds over land very well. But, the model includes strong 45 knot winds near land. The winds would probably carry inland. They get strong through the day.

The North American Mesoscale model shows 30-40 knot winds near Miami during the day on Friday. Doesn’t sound terribly bad to me. But, we expect several inches of rain with this storm in this area.
I’ll look again in the morning, but I am hoping it will only be wet.

Stu

 Posted by at 6:20 pm

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