Today, we may see thunderclouds build around the area. This isn’t an early start to the Monsoon Season. The traditional definition of the monsoon season start is three consecutive days with dewpoints rising above 54 degrees. Currently, the dewpoint is in the teens.
A low pressure trough moving across the area is responsible for setting up this pattern. The GFS model has a monsoon like pattern for the next several days. This pattern shows moisture being draw up from the south and regular rainfall over Western Texas, New Mexico and Colorado. We just have a 30% chance of some activity today and tonight. Then, our chances for precipitation fall to near zero.