Yesterday was beautiful as promised. The outlook is up in the air
RECORD EVENT REPORT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF, AZ 818 PM MST MON DEC 13 2010 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA ON DEC 13 2010... CITY NEW HIGH PREVIOUS RECORD/YEAR BELLEMONT 65 57 IN 2004 COTTONWOOD-TUZIGOOT NM 76 70 IN 1996 FLAGSTAFF 67 66 IN 1921 FORT VALLEY 65 64 IN 1950 GREER 64 59 IN 2004 HEBER 68 67 IN 1969 NAVAJO NM 56 54 IN 1962 PAYSON 69 68 IN 1969 SELIGMAN 73 70 IN 1950 SHOW LOW 67 63 IN 2004 GRAND CANYON SOUTH RIM 63 62 IN 2004 WALNUT CANYON 60 57 IN 2004 THE HIGH TEMPERATURE AT THE SEDONA AIRPORT TODAY REACHED 70 DEGREES. THE OFFICIAL RECORD HIGH FOR TODAY IS 70 DEGREES...WHICH WAS SET AT THE RANGER STATION IN 2004. ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA ON DEC 12 2010... CITY NEW HIGH PREVIOUS RECORD/YEAR BELLEMONT 60 60 IN 2004 COTTONWOOD-TUZIGOOT NM 75 70 IN 1996 THESE RECORDS ARE PRELIMINARY PENDING OFFICIAL REPORTS.
The outlook is a little uncertain. Just as the North American Mesoscale (NAM) model has firmed up on a strong storm hitting the area on Thursday, the National Weather Service has moved to a fairly light 1-2 inches of snow in their forecast. Accuweather has dropped snow from their forecast. The NOGAPs model shows only a small amount of precipitation. The GFS Model shows light amounts in Northern Arizona, with heavier amounts to the south. So, which is right? I think it mostly depends on the positions of the High and Low pressure systems off the Pacific Coast. I think the graphic below captures the situation. If the pump isn’t directed at us, we get very little. If it is directed at us we get a lot.
Check Out Ken Clark’s Blog at AccuWeather. He notes the potential pineapple connection. Very nice discussion and images.