Dec 102010
 
Share on Facebook0Share on Google+0Pin on Pinterest0Tweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedIn0Email this to someoneShare

Sorry folks, I’ve been in Japan for the last week and out of the loop as a result. Sorry the storm didn’t materialize while I was gone. It looks like there will be a couple chances for white stuff in the near future.

The normally conservative AccuWeather forecast has snow forecasted for the week of Christmas. Not just for a single day that week, but the entire week. In fact, they see the snow starting next Thursday and continuing through December 24. To some extent, his is reinforced by the GFS model which shows a strong system on a southerly track hitting Arizona on December 23. The Flagstaff forecast from the National Weather Service has a chance of snow next Thursday.

But, the high pressure off the coast of Southern California has been quite strong and unmovable of late. I am highly skeptical. But, my T-model shows a similar possibility for Christmas Week.

Share on Facebook0Share on Google+0Pin on Pinterest0Tweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedIn0Email this to someoneShare

[suffusion-the-author]

[suffusion-the-author display='description']
 Posted by at 6:39 am

  2 Responses to “Will it be a white Christmas?”

  1. glad you’re back online, stu. i was getting worried…

    snow levels look like they’re going to start high on thurs-fri for the first system. do you concur?

    other than noaa’s advice, i’m typically at a loss to predict oncoming temps and snowlevels… what resources/models do you recommed that provide insight into such things? hope i’m not asking for trade secrets 🙂 just looking for a few new avenues for my own investigations…

    • I just noticed that NOGAPS now has a surface temperature model, but the resolution isn’t high enough to really tell what the snow level will be. But, you can get a feel for what the temps will be. Another source is CPEC with http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/medr.shtml

      Otherwise, there are the shorter ranger high res models off the NWS flagstaff page. On the forecast page they are toward the bottom.

Sorry, the comment form is closed at this time.

2 visitors online now
0 guests, 2 bots, 0 members
Max visitors today: 9 at 12:44 pm UTC
This month: 10 at 10-02-2017 01:31 pm UTC
This year: 86 at 03-09-2017 03:59 pm UTC
All time: 1611 at 04-27-2012 06:53 pm UTC