Sep 152010

When the weather is this beautiful. Last week was a little chilly, but this week is near perfect. The controlled burns are destroying some of that perfection with smoke lingering around town over night.

The big question in my mind is whether we will see any precipitation in the rest of September. Enter tropical Storm Karl. Currently, there are 3 named storms in the Atlantic area. Tropical Storm Karl  is in the Caribbean.

Tropical Storm Karl Projected Path from WunderGround

Tropical Storm Karl Projected Path from WunderGround

Will Karl’s moisture and low pressure make it to the southwest? The long-term GFS Model has been vacillating between yes and no. Currently, there is a chance the moisture will make it across Northern Mexico and into Arizona around the weekend of September 25-26. However, model to model runs shows differences in the strength of the westerly flow across the state at that time. If we have strong westerly or southwesterly flow, then the moisture will be blown to the east. Something to watch.

In the mean time, enjoy the beautiful fall weather.


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