It's Just Not Fair!

From National Weather Service WINTER STORM WATCH

FROM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WINTER STORM WARNING Issued 330pm Sunday.

But, when is the weather ever fair. The precipitation models continue to shift around, but seem to be aligning for 12-24 inch snow accumulations for parts of the Northland between now and Monday night. Accuweather is sticking to a meager 7.5 inches. Wunderground has 15-23 inches in their forecast. Foxnews just said 1-3 feet across the 4-Corners area. For my house, the National Weather Service Point Forecast shows 7-16 inches. For the airport, they show 9-17 inches. As I said, the models keep shifting.

Here is a good post from Friday by Ken Clark at Accuweather.com: Model Mayhem Equals Changing Forecasts. If it makes you feel better, next weekend should bring a repeat.

330 PM MST SUN FEB 21 2010

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 PM
MST MONDAY FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 5000 FT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 PM MST MONDAY FOR ELEVATIONS
ABOVE 5000 FT. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING: A STRONG WINTER STORM IS MOVING INTO ARIZONA FROM THE
  NORTH AND WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
  MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS: STORM TOTAL SNOW AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 4
  TO 8 INCHES BETWEEN 5000 TO 6000 FT AND 8 TO 14 INCHES ABOVE
  6000 FT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.



631 AM MST SUN FEB 21 2010
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM MST THIS

EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING ABOVE 5000 FEET...
* TIMING: THE SECOND PART OF THIS WINTER STORM IS FORECAST TO

BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY

MORNING WITH THE MOST SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL BEGINNING BEFORE

MIDNIGHT MONDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.
* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS: POSSIBLE SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 5 TO 8

INCHES FROM 5000 TO 6000 FEET...8 TO 16 INCHES FROM 6000

FEET TO 7000 FEET WITH LOCALLY HIGH AMOUNTS CLOSER TO THE

MOGOLLON RIM...WITH 12 TO 24 INCHES ABOVE 7000 FEET WITH

LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE .