I seriously doubt it. One set of model runs on Thursday made it appear that all the precipitation was going to be to the south of Flagstaff. Not this morning.
I still think those deeper yellows and oranges are to the south, but, maybe not. Here are some numbers from various sources:
Accuweather.com 32.9 inches Intellicast.com 13-20 inches Wunderground.com 28-48 inches (with more hevy snow overnight Friday night - Saturday morning) NOAA Graphical ~31.6 inches National Weather Service 25-41 inches
There is a chance for a break from snow to rain this afternoon or evening.
No matter how you slice it, there is going to be a lot of snow. It could be very heavy and wet. Please, take care and be safe.
Here is a trivia question. If someone leaves the Phoenix airport at 2pm on Friday, January 22, 2010 at 2pm, how long will it be until the arrive at the Pulliam Airport exit in Flagstaff? Assume the driver have 15 years experience driving in Arizona and is driving a red Jeep Wrangler.
Here is the WINTER STORM WARNING from the National Weather Service. Keep in mind they have been as close to perfect on their forecasts this winter
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 433 AM MST THU JAN 21 2010 AZZ015-211945- /O.EXT.KFGZ.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100123T1900Z/ WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FLAGSTAFF 433 AM MST THU JAN 21 2010 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MST SATURDAY ABOVE 6500 FEET... THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MST SATURDAY. * TIMING: SNOW WILL CONTINUE...HEAVY AT TIMES...THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME MORE SHOWERY BY SATURDAY. * SNOW LEVELS: SNOW LEVELS WILL SLOWLY RISE TO AROUND 7000 FEET BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN MAY MIX WITH SNOW BELOW 7500 FEET IN THE EVENING...SNOW LEVELS WILL THEN FALL RAPIDLY BY LATE THURSDAY EVENING. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS: EXPECT 2 TO 4 FEET OF SNOW BY SATURDAY ABOVE 6500 FEET...WITH 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE 7000 FEET. * OTHER IMPACTS: STRONG WINDS TONIGHT WILL BRING NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH WHITE-OUT VISIBILITIES AND DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...DUE TO SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND STRONG WINDS PRODUCING LIMITED VISIBILITIES. DRIVING WILL BE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS DURING THIS STORM. IF POSSIBLE...POSTPONE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA UNTIL THIS STORM PASSES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL TAKE EMERGENCY SUPPLIES THAT INCLUDE WINTER CLOTHING...FOOD...WATER AND A FLASHLIGHT. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS AND CLOSURES...CALL THE ADOT FREEWAY MANAGEMENT SYSTEM AT 1 888 411 7623 OR VISIT THEIR WEB SITE AT WWW.AZ511.COM. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION IS ON THE WEB AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.