It’s not looking like we will see much in the way of moisture. Maybe on Monday, but it will be brief. Also, plenty of clouds on the way for the next few days.
The jet stream is still pushing the low’s to the north. We are only getting the fronts and troughs.
Well, If you believe the long look models, we are headed back to the deep freeze. Very cold temps a week and beyond out. Potentially, these will be significantly below normal.
Enjoy while it lasts!!!
Looks like a cooling trend through the weekend and into next week. A storm or two will pass to the north. Today, it looks like we will only get wind with these. Even with the cooling, temperatures should only be near normal.
October has been too cold for my tastes. Kept waiting for a good weekend to go spend at the lake. Finally gave up and winterized the boat. If only I had waited!!! This weekend was beautiful. High pressure should stick around for this week, keeping it warm and dry. Light winds, too. The jet stream seems to be locked into the current pattern for the long run.
Here is how beautiful Sunday was:
Statement as of 6:25 PM MST on October 26, 2008
… Record high low temperatures for northern Arizona on Oct 26 2008…
City (period of record) new high low previous record/year
Navajo nm (1939 – 2008) 49 48 in 1988 (record high low’s are an indicator of global warming)
… Record high temperatures for northern Arizona on Oct 26 2008…
City (period of record) new high previous record/year
Cottonwood-tuzigoot (1911 – 2008) 93 89 in 2001
Navajo nm (1939 – 2008) 70 70 (tied) in 2007
Payson (1948 – 2008) 86 84 in 1999
Prescott (1898 – 2008) 83 83 (tied) in 1934
Sedona (1943 – 2008) 89 87 in 2001
Williams (1897 – 2008) 78 78 (tied) in 1933
These records are preliminary pending official reports.
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I think for Northern Arizona to have good precipitation in the winter, there has to be a split jet stream or a southern jet stream. Right now, that isn’t the case:
Image from WeatherBank.com
All of the low pressure systems are being carried far to the north. This needs to changes for snow to come our way.
From a professor at Colorado. The politcal stuff aside, the data is very interesting.
http://atoc.colorado.edu/wxlab/atoc1050/1050%20ppt/Global%20warming%20quiz.ppt
Here is what the weekend looked like:
… Record low temperatures for northern Arizona on Oct 12 2008…
City (period of record) new low previous record/year
Cottonwood-tuzigoot (1911 – 2008) 35 35 (tied) in 1986
Grand Canyon np S rim (1903 – 2008) 18 21 in 1969
Payson (1948 – 2008) 25 25 (tied) in 1969
phantom ranch (1966 – 2008) 46 48 in 1997
Seligman (1905 – 2008) 20 21 in 1969
Williams (1897 – 2008) 18 19 in 1930
Winslow (1898 – 2008) 21 25 in 1969
These records are preliminary pending official reports.
Well, at 5:45 it’s 12.9 degrees F at my house. As cold as 7F in some parts of the Flagstaff area. Normal low for this date is 32F. Weather service is saying it’s 15F. The record is 9F. Maybe not a record breaker, but pretty darn cold!!!
Oh, but it could be better…Early Idaho Snow
It’s what we can expect with global warming…early snows, severe early season cold…wait a minute…
What about the Precip in September?
Well, there certainly has been a lot of hype about the sea ice disappearing this year. Hmmmm?
What really happened? Does the media really care? Check out this article:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/10/09/sea-ice-extent-recovering-quickly/
Guess it is hard to scare people with the truth! There is more Ice this year than last.
There is still a chance of snow for the weekend. Given the clouds already forming over the Peaks at 6am, they could come out of this a little bit white.
Wind is the big news. Saturday afternoon could see winds over 40-50mph.
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