I have a specific request on what the Shark Oil Barometer has been indicating. It has been countinuously cloudy for the last week and a half, or so. I think the real test we have in the offing is whether is clears some after this coming weekend. The models are showing drier conditions after this weekend, and well into the holidays.
Hopefully, this weekend will bring enough snow for a holiday opening for Snowbowl. There is a good bit of variability in the models. The National Weather Service has been dead-on lately (Hat-Tip to them!). They are calling for an inch or two today and tomorrow, and 2-4″ with the weather system on Sunday.
The NOGAPS forecast is more aggressive with something in more of the 6-8 or 8-12 inch ranges for Sunday. It has varied between runs. See Picture below. Either way, I am going to try to get my snowblower back online!
One final note on Monday’s snow:
Statement as of 1:30 am MST on December 11, 2009
... Record snowfall for Flagstaff Airport on Dec 7 2009...
City (period of record) new record previous record/year
Flagstaff Airport (1898-2009) 20.1 inches 5.0 inches 1956
The Flagstaff Airport reported 20.1 inches of snowfall from midnight
to midnight on December 7th 2009. This was over four times the
previous record of 5.0 inches set in 1956. This also ties the
record for the 8th snowiest calendar day also set on February 24th
1987. The last time that it snowed more than 20.1 inches in one day
was februaray 24th 1987 when it snowed 21.1 inches.
These records are preliminary pending official reports.
Navy NOGAPS Precipitation Forecast for Sunday, 12-13-09