Yes, that is the general perception. But, over the weekend Flagstaff fell below average for the water year, which begins in September.
And, this isn’t a typical El Niño. This has probably been a Modoki El Niño. It’s a different kind of El Niño. With this type, the warm zone is farther to the west along the Equator. This in turn alters the weather patterns lust a bit more. The split storm tracks have been farther to the south and the north. This has left Arizona and southern California out of the rain.
Couple that with the break down of the Blob as a result of the disappearance of the Ridiculously Resilient Ridge, and it has just been inappropriately beautiful. Sorry.
We could still get hit hard by a few storms as the El Niño converts to a La Nina and gives up all the heat it collected. We will have to see.
The only good news is that the snowpack above Lake Powell is above normal. This could change.
Enjoy your weather, it’s the only weather you have.