With two days of record rainfall, 1.41 inches on Friday, 0.94 inches on Saturday, the total precipitation for August at the Flagstaff airport is 6.34 inches. Since placing the National Weather Service placed the weather station at the Flagstaff Airport in 1950, only August of 1986 had higher rainfall at 8.06 inches. This brings the 12 month precipitation over 26 inches, and the two-year total to over 52 inches.
The computer models keep projecting a drying trend, which never shows up. We’ll see what happens. I haven’t written in a while because the model outlooks have been in flux. Watching the potential development of tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic has been very perplexing. Over the last week, one system has shifted between a band of organized thunder storms to a very powerful hurricane in and around Florida several times. Hurricanes, and forecasts of hurricanes, can affect the weather, and forecasts of the weather, for thousands of miles around. For some reason, there is a huge amount of variability in the computer models now. It will probably persist for the next few weeks as a very powerful storm is in the longer term outlooks.