Strong start to Monsoon Season on the way

 Climate, Monsoon, Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Strong start to Monsoon Season on the way
Jun 252015
 

Recently, I noticed that the Wikipedia page on Monsoons wasn’t fond of referring to the North American Monsoon in the southwestern U.S. as a true monsoon.

Whether it is true or not, it looks like Flagstaff and most of Arizona will get a nice wet start to the season over the next week or so. Below is the 10-day precipitation outlook.

Ten day precipitation outlook from the GFS Model at the  Climate Prediction Center.

Ten day precipitation outlook from the GFS Model at the Climate Prediction Center.

 Posted by at 3:25 am

Model predicts typical start to Monsoon Season

 El Nino/La Nina, Models, Monsoon, Outlooks  Comments Off on Model predicts typical start to Monsoon Season
Jun 212015
 

I think I mentioned several times last summer NOAA’s GFS model predictions of the monsoon season impressed me.They seemed remarkable accurate. I say seemed, because I don’t think I ever did or saw any statistical analysis to prove it. We will see how they do this year. For now, the model has the season walking […]

 Posted by at 5:47 am

Closer to normal June weather on the way

 Climate, El Nino/La Nina, Monsoon, Northern Arizona Weather, Outlooks  Comments Off on Closer to normal June weather on the way
Jun 142015
 

Through Sunday morning, we have received 1.14 inches of rainfall in June. This is a whopping inch over normal. While that is large rainfall for June, 1955 and 1956 are still well in the lead at 2.92 and 2.79. This is for the record since 1950. We could still beat these amounts depending on how […]

 Posted by at 9:47 pm

Is the drought over?

 Climate, Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Is the drought over?
Jun 072015
 

It’s been cold and wet for the last couple months in Flagstaff. It has me wondering, when do we know if a drought is over. I bet after another spring weekend with about an inch of rain, it seems like a silly thought. For me, it was a weekend of thunderstorms here in Munich. Seemed […]

 Posted by at 1:16 pm

Super Early Monsoon?

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Super Early Monsoon?
Jun 022015
 

I think it is interesting that since I have moved to Munich, Arizona has become cooler and wetter, and Munich has become warmer and drier. I doubt it is because of me or my wife, but still…. The next week or so has many of the hallmarks of a monsoon season. A strong southwesterly flow […]

 Posted by at 12:21 pm
Apr 272015
 

These are important questions, that I will try to deal with here. First, a note about the weather. Wow, that was a wet and cold weekend. We aren’t out of the woods, yet. (Huh, a double entendre and I didn’t even try.) There are very important topics for Northern Arizona’s weather, but things have been […]

 Posted by at 7:01 pm

That was a wet one

 Northern Arizona Weather, Record, Winter Storms  Comments Off on That was a wet one
Mar 032015
 

Clearing and warming are on the horizon for Northern Arizona. The next two mornings will be in the teens, but we will be back to the 50s for highs by the weekend. A few showers may linger around the area today. Currently, there are no storms in the forecasts for the next week. The storm […]

 Posted by at 7:03 am

Very wet start to March to continue today

 Winter Storms  Comments Off on Very wet start to March to continue today
Mar 022015
 

We received almost 2 inches of water yesterday. I’m surprised this wasn’t a record. It would have been a record on the day before or after. I think another inch could arrive today. I don’t think we will add much to the snowfall totals in Flagstaff. But if the temperatures are low enough, we could. […]

 Posted by at 6:46 am

Splash down!

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Splash down!
Mar 012015
 

What a heavy wet mess, again. That’s twice in a week that a slush storm has wandered through Northern Arizona. More, a lot more, is on the way for Monday. See the Winter Storm Advisory from the National Weather Service in Flagstaff below. I’m not sure about the temperature drop they are predicting. We may […]

 Posted by at 7:28 pm

Okay, this looks real!

 Winter Storms  Comments Off on Okay, this looks real!
Feb 262015
 

Snow flurries are starting to fall this afternoon. They are a harbinger of a huge amount of water on the way. The current outlook is for rain tomorrow (Friday). Then snow through at least next Wednesday. Make your preparations now! Travel may be very difficult for the next week in the Northland. The outlook below […]

 Posted by at 4:11 pm
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