A wet May and June have been followed by an early and fairly wet start to the monsoonal thunderstorm activity. But the computer models are showing a change to the pattern over the next week or so. A tropical storm may form off the coast of Central America and slowly move to the northwest. This will bring westerly winds and reduced moisture for Northern Arizona.
The drying trend seems to be in each computer model, but the tropical system doesn’t always show up. Still plenty of variability.
Meanwhile, in München, we have a very sunny and warm trend. The car thermometer said 35C yesterday on the way to a 4th of July party held by a couple from Scotland. 35C is 95F. Very warm without AC.
Recently, I noticed that the Wikipedia page on Monsoons wasn’t fond of referring to the North American Monsoon in the southwestern U.S. as a true monsoon. Whether it is true or not, it looks like Flagstaff and most of Arizona will get a nice wet start to the season over the next week or so. […]
I think I mentioned several times last summer NOAA’s GFS model predictions of the monsoon season impressed me.They seemed remarkable accurate. I say seemed, because I don’t think I ever did or saw any statistical analysis to prove it. We will see how they do this year. For now, the model has the season walking […]
Through Sunday morning, we have received 1.14 inches of rainfall in June. This is a whopping inch over normal. While that is large rainfall for June, 1955 and 1956 are still well in the lead at 2.92 and 2.79. This is for the record since 1950. We could still beat these amounts depending on how […]
It’s been cold and wet for the last couple months in Flagstaff. It has me wondering, when do we know if a drought is over. I bet after another spring weekend with about an inch of rain, it seems like a silly thought. For me, it was a weekend of thunderstorms here in Munich. Seemed […]
I think it is interesting that since I have moved to Munich, Arizona has become cooler and wetter, and Munich has become warmer and drier. I doubt it is because of me or my wife, but still…. The next week or so has many of the hallmarks of a monsoon season. A strong southwesterly flow […]
These are important questions, that I will try to deal with here. First, a note about the weather. Wow, that was a wet and cold weekend. We aren’t out of the woods, yet. (Huh, a double entendre and I didn’t even try.) There are very important topics for Northern Arizona’s weather, but things have been […]
Clearing and warming are on the horizon for Northern Arizona. The next two mornings will be in the teens, but we will be back to the 50s for highs by the weekend. A few showers may linger around the area today. Currently, there are no storms in the forecasts for the next week. The storm […]
Winter StormsComments Off on Very wet start to March to continue today
We received almost 2 inches of water yesterday. I’m surprised this wasn’t a record. It would have been a record on the day before or after. I think another inch could arrive today. I don’t think we will add much to the snowfall totals in Flagstaff. But if the temperatures are low enough, we could. […]
What a heavy wet mess, again. That’s twice in a week that a slush storm has wandered through Northern Arizona. More, a lot more, is on the way for Monday. See the Winter Storm Advisory from the National Weather Service in Flagstaff below. I’m not sure about the temperature drop they are predicting. We may […]
6 visitors online now 1 guests, 5 bots, 0 members Max visitors today: 10 at 02:23 am UTC This month: 12 at 07-04-2015 10:02 pm UTC This year: 23 at 06-23-2015 04:23 pm UTC All time: 1611 at 04-27-2012 06:53 pm UTC