May 282016

To date, May has been chilly and wet. Flagstaff is ahead of average on precipitation by over an inch, and on temperature by 3.7 degrees. The average daily high has only by 62.2 degrees, which is 6 degrees below normal. I look at the month and maybe a bit deeper in this El Nino compared to others in the future.

The big news is that this week should not only bring normal, but beautiful sunshine and above average temperatures. These should be the warmest temperatures of the year so far. I think, the storm track has finally moved off to the north in the first step to the summer weather pattern. Now, the heat should start to build so that the monsoon low can develop later in June. This means strong winds should be less frequent, too.

 Posted by at 9:59 pm

As I sit in Hong Kong…

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on As I sit in Hong Kong…
May 182016

As I sit in Hong Kong, I am wondering about the curious similarities in Flagstaff’s and Munich’s winter and spring. Both had relatively warm and dry winters. And now, both are having cold, wet Mays. With yesterday’s (I think that means Tuesday, jet lag and the international dateline make me wonder)…With yesterday’s precipitation, this May […]

 Posted by at 3:55 am

Winter over? It’s only April.

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Winter over? It’s only April.
Apr 192016

I see these posts from people wishing for the end of winter on Facebook after the recent bit of snow. It is only April. We’re expecting snow next week in Munich. It looks like you shouldn’t put your snow shovel away in Flagstaff, either. The 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center […]

 Posted by at 8:42 pm

Is winter on the way back to Northern Arizona.

 Outlooks  Comments Off on Is winter on the way back to Northern Arizona.
Apr 022016

At the end of last week, the outlooks for April shifted. I couldn’t bring myself to post about a change to upcoming wetter conditions on April Fool’s Day. The last 6 month’s we have seen a repeated disappearing act of storms. They would show up in the computer models as strong storms over a week […]

 Posted by at 11:31 pm

But I thought El Niño meant wetter?

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on But I thought El Niño meant wetter?
Mar 212016

Yes, that is the general perception. But, over the weekend Flagstaff fell below average for the water year, which begins in September. And, this isn’t a typical El Niño. This has probably been a Modoki El Niño. It’s a different kind of El Niño. With this type, the warm zone is farther to the west […]

 Posted by at 1:44 pm


 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Nevermind…
Mar 052016

Everything keeps falling apart from a storm point of view. Enjoy the continued early spring. Tweet

 Posted by at 12:29 am

March to be a flip-flop of February

 Northern Arizona Weather, Winter Storms  Comments Off on March to be a flip-flop of February
Mar 012016

The outlooks and computer models are solidifying around a wet March. It starts this weekend with a mild storm with light precipitation. The pattern builds through the month. The precipitation in the first two weeks of March could hit the monthly average. More details as the future storms are closer. Below is the 6-10 day, […]

 Posted by at 9:39 pm

It’s always just over the horizon.

 Northern Arizona Weather, Outlooks, Winter Storms  Comments Off on It’s always just over the horizon.
Feb 292016

The computer models keep dropping a significant storm into the long-range forecast. If you look at the image from my last post, it shows significant precipitation around March 4, 2016. The forecasts do point to some precipitation this weekend, but not the large amount in that image. The problem is that the big storm is […]

 Posted by at 8:48 pm

Purplish Picture Present Promising Precipitation

 Models, Northern Arizona Weather, Winter Storms  Comments Off on Purplish Picture Present Promising Precipitation
Jan 292016

I’ve looked at a new site for computer model data. I think the pictures are prettier than the US Government site. No surprise there. The snow fall pictures are purple and orange for this weekend. It looks like the Flagstaff groundhogs will have a bit of digging to do to get to above the snow […]

 Posted by at 10:11 pm
7 visitors online now
0 guests, 7 bots, 0 members
Max visitors today: 9 at 05:21 am UTC
This month: 16 at 05-13-2016 12:53 pm UTC
This year: 41 at 01-29-2016 07:29 pm UTC
All time: 1611 at 04-27-2012 06:53 pm UTC

Social Widgets powered by