Aug 312015
 

Yet again, an East Pacific hurricane is going to bring plenty of moisture to Arizona. It just showed up in the computer models, so it may not happen. If it does, 2-4 inches of rain could show up this week. More later.

In München, es ist schön. Aber, morgen Abend wird es regnen und zu kalt.

 Posted by at 12:07 pm

Now, live from Glockenbachviertel, the weather…

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Now, live from Glockenbachviertel, the weather…
Aug 292015
 

After several failed attempts and lots of translation about a thing called a Fritzbox, I finally have a weather station up and running here in Munich. You can view it on Weather Underground as station ID IBAYERNM52. I’m using a very nice, get one for yourself because its cool, Acu-Rite Pro 5-in-1 Weather Station. with […]

 Posted by at 12:31 am

Short and long range outlooks continue to look wet…very, very wet.

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Short and long range outlooks continue to look wet…very, very wet.
Aug 232015
 

Last week, the Climate Prediction Center published new outlook maps. These point to a strong finish for the monsoon season and a wet winter. While these aren’t changes to expectations, I thought they are reviewing. First the current 30-day and 90-day outlooks show the strong finish to the monsoon season.   Arizona is deep inside […]

 Posted by at 2:18 am

El Nino versus the Blob

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on El Nino versus the Blob
Aug 152015
 

It’s like a Godzilla movie. Will the current El Nino be the biggest of all time? Will California ever recover from their drought? Is this the Godzilla of all El Ninos. Just today, a friend of mine shared a post on Facebook that referred to the current El Nino as the “Godzilla” of El Ninos. […]

 Posted by at 10:52 am

Was July as wet as the National Weather Service data shows?

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Was July as wet as the National Weather Service data shows?
Aug 052015
 

One of the issues with monsoon season precipitation amounts is that strong, localized thunderstorms can produce large amounts of rain over a limited area. This means that a given rainfall measurement may not apply to a broader area. One of my friends challenged me about the National Weather Service’s July precipitation amount as measured at the […]

 Posted by at 3:22 am

Turning the spigot back on

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Turning the spigot back on
Jul 272015
 

i spent most of last week in Scotland. It was wonderfully cool and wet. It was a very nice break from the recent heavy heat in Munich. One day in Munich, it was hotter than Anthem, AZ.  Now, back in Munich, it is more temperate and rainy. The spigot is about to be turned back […]

 Posted by at 2:00 pm

From the “You might have heard it here first” list. And Dolores.

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on From the “You might have heard it here first” list. And Dolores.
Jul 162015
 

The Verde Independent has an interesting story about the long term drought in the Southwest. Back in June, I wrote a post about a very similar set of thoughts; Is the drought over? I there is a chance that Northern Arizona could be emerging. But California is just beginning. One of the tricky parts of […]

 Posted by at 12:40 am

Monsoon interrupted 

 Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Monsoon interrupted 
Jul 052015
 

A wet May and June have been followed by an early and fairly wet start to the monsoonal thunderstorm activity. But the computer models are showing a change to the pattern over the next week or so. A tropical storm may form off the coast of Central America and slowly move to the northwest. This […]

 Posted by at 1:54 am

Strong start to Monsoon Season on the way

 Climate, Monsoon, Northern Arizona Weather  Comments Off on Strong start to Monsoon Season on the way
Jun 252015
 

Recently, I noticed that the Wikipedia page on Monsoons wasn’t fond of referring to the North American Monsoon in the southwestern U.S. as a true monsoon. Whether it is true or not, it looks like Flagstaff and most of Arizona will get a nice wet start to the season over the next week or so. […]

 Posted by at 3:25 am

Model predicts typical start to Monsoon Season

 El Nino/La Nina, Models, Monsoon, Outlooks  Comments Off on Model predicts typical start to Monsoon Season
Jun 212015
 

I think I mentioned several times last summer NOAA’s GFS model predictions of the monsoon season impressed me.They seemed remarkable accurate. I say seemed, because I don’t think I ever did or saw any statistical analysis to prove it. We will see how they do this year. For now, the model has the season walking […]

 Posted by at 5:47 am
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